Redbeard
1 min readMar 28, 2020

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I also agree that the Bayesian’s have it right, and here’s why:

Imagine for a moment that you were able to observe ALL non-black things and confirm that none of them were Ravens. That seems like pretty good evidence for All Ravens are Black.

I think our intuition comes from thinking that the set of non-black things is infinite, that it is so varied that it’s hard to get a representative sample, and that if there were non-black Ravens it would be such a small portion of the total non-black things that we would be likely to miss them.

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Redbeard
Redbeard

Written by Redbeard

Patent Attorney, Crypto Enthusiast, Father of two daughters

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